Author: evencio.alvarez14@gmail.com
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China Is To be Traded, Not Invested In…
Some narratives are contagious because they seem to offer a confirming fact. We can say with some accuracy that most people put on a show of their own knowledgeability and try to conceal their ignorance of millions of facts. Hence, narratives that seem contrary to prevailing thought may have lower contagion rates and not result…
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Precious Metals M&A Update
***This is an excerpt from a Long Pull Report sent to Collective members on September 11 outlining our bullish precious metals thesis we’ve been pounding the table for over a year. Enrollment to our Collective runs till Sunday. If you’d like to join, click the link below and get after it. Don’t hesitate to shoot…
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A Good Time To Buy
***This excerpt from a Market Note sent to Collective members last Thursday summarizes our risk-on thesis that we’ve been pushing for the past month. Enrollment to our Collective runs till Sunday. If you’d like to join, click the link below and get after it. Don’t hesitate to shoot me any Qs!** Join The Collective The…
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An Imperial Regime…
“Incorporating percentages or ranges of alternatives into the expression of our beliefs means that our personal narrative no longer hinges on whether we were wrong or right but on how well we incorporate new information to adjust the estimate of how accurate our beliefs are.” ~ Annie Duke, “Thinking in Bets In this week’s Dirty…
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A MASSIVE Cup-n-Handle In Silver
“If you want to watch CNBC like the pros do, turn the sound off!” ~ Walter Deemer In this week’s Dirty Dozen [CHART PACK] we look new highs in gold, coiling silver that’s near historic relative lows versus gold, and a SOFR market that’s close to pricing in a recession, plus more… 1. Gold put…
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The Bull Market In Gold Is Only Getting Started
On Thursday, our sitting buy-stop order in gold was hit, adding to our long position for the fourth time since we started this most recent bull campaign in precious metals. The arrows below show our time-stamped slack alerts to the Collective for both buy orders (green) and profit-taking (red). View fullsize Our book is also…
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Why We Sold Sibanye-Stillwater (SBSW)
As a culture, we’re obsessed with winning. Partly because it feels good. But more so because losing hurts twice as much as the pleasure we get from winning. Nobody wants to dissect how much they lost on that one trade. Instead, you want to brag about how much money you made buying NVDA. But if…
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Is Oil Nearing A Major Low?
“When you understand how fear operates in your trading and have conquered it, you will be able to see how fear operates in the market as a whole and then be able to anticipate the group’s reaction to certain kinds of information.” ~ Mark Douglas, “The Disciplined Trader” In this week’s Dirty Dozen [CHART PACK]…
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FreightCar America (RAIL): Our Trifecta Lens Approach In Action
RAIL designs, manufactures, and sells railcars and railcar components for transporting bulk commodities and containerized freight products in the United States and Mexico. According to its website, the company offers a range of railcars, including open-top hoppers, mill gondola cars, intermodal and non-intermodal flat cars, coal cars, bulk commodity cars, covered hopper cars, coil steel…