Author: evencio.alvarez14@gmail.com
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The Bull Case For 1stDibs (DIBS)
Luxury design online marketplace 1stDibs (DIBS) is now trading at “stupid cheap” levels. At the same time, its business continues to execute and grow its (already leading) competitive advantages. The company currently offers investors a chance to 5x their money in ~3-5 years with considerably less downside risk at the current price. In this note, I explain…
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A Stampede Out Of Europe [Dirty Dozen]
“Markets tend to move in fits and starts, adopting a thesis and then abandoning it. We try to catch them if we can, but if we can’t, we are better off not trying… I am particularly keen on investment theses that the market is reluctant to accept. These are usually the strongest” ~ George Soros…
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Things Are Not Looking… Good
“Above all, don’t lie to yourself. The man who lies to himself and listens to his own lie comes to a point that he cannot distinguish the truth within him, or around him, and so loses all respect for himself and for others. And having no respect he ceases to love.” ~ Fyodor Dostoevsky, The…
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Fundamental vs Technical Analysis: Key Differences
“Fundamentalists who say they are not going to pay any attention to the charts are like a doctor who says he’s not going to take a patient’s temperature.” – Bruce Kovner Bruce Kovner went from cab driver to Market Wizard. How did he do it? The short answer: Reading the charts and respecting risk. Check out our…
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Long Ukraine, Democracy, and the Western Alliance…
“So I should say that civilizations begin with religion and stoicism: they end with skepticism and unbelief, and the undisciplined pursuit of individual pleasure. A civilization is born stoic and dies epicurean.” ~ Will Durant Good morning! This is an extra dirty Dirty Dozen [CHART PACK] this week as I’m running on wee sleep and didn’t…
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There’s Always A Bull Market Somewhere
***The Following is an excerpt from a Market Note recently sent to Collective members. Click here to learn more***There’s a lot happening. I’m busy working on a number of larger write-ups, specifically a follow-up piece to my Russia-Ukraine take along with a deep dive into what I see going forward over the next 12-18 months…
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Mister Spex (MRX): Europe’s Best Way To Buy Glasses
Mister Spex (MRX) is Europe’s largest digitally native omnichannel retailer for eyewear products. The company sits at the inflection of three major structural tailwinds for eyewear. Additionally, European eyewear sales sport one of any consumer product’s lowest online adoption rates (10%). Online adoption should rapidly increase as millennials and Gen Z enter their prime eyewear buying…
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Short Cyclicals, Buy Bonds…
“I discovered that the British stock market bottomed for all time in the summer of 1940 just before the Battle of Britain; that the U.S. market turned forever in late May 1942 around the epic Battle of Midway; and that the German market peaked at the high-water mark of the German attack on Russia just…
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A Russia-Ukraine PSA
***The Following is an excerpt from a Market Note recently sent to Collective members. Click here to learn more***Consider this a PSA…The Russia/Ukraine hot takes I’m seeing getting bandied about on Fintwit by half-brained Putin lickspittled nitwits are so awful that I feel compelled to say something. First, a quick note about my background so you…
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Don’t Fade The Credit Bleed…
“Expansions don’t die of old age; they are murdered by the Federal Reserve”~ Rudi Dornbusch ***Housekeeping note: We’re opening enrollment to our Collective this week. If you’d like to join our band of ruthless profiteers then click the link below and sign up. Don’t hesitate to email me any questions you have. Looking forward to…