Author: evencio.alvarez14@gmail.com
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Make Money And Let Ego Be…
The science journal Nautilus published an article the other month about a team of researchers whom, following WW2, set out to uncover the unique psychological traits at the root of authoritarianism and prejudice. Born from this effort were several “tests of perception”. Many of these tests proved controversial at the time but one test in…
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A BIG Move Is Brewing In Crude… [Dirty Dozen]
View fullsize “The oil market is the world’s biggest gambling hall.” ~ T. Boone Pickens In this week’s Dirty Dozen [CHART PACK] we discuss issues with the payroll data and why it’s grossly overstating job growth. We then walk through bonds, CPI leads, and secular thematic rotations, before ending with a look at major compression…
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A BIG Move Is Brewing In USD… [Dirty Dozen]
“Bullishness is born as hope in the midst of despair. Hope swells to confidence and confidence swells to euphoria, and the process contains the seed of its own destruction and the birth of its opposite, fear. Fear is nurtured by falling prices and the two feed on themselves until they swell to despair. And so…
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Looking For A Correction In Gold… [Dirty Dozen]
“When a trader starts to feel really smart, he/she is headed for a huge drawdown.” ~ Peter Brandt (h/t Walter Deemer) In this week’s Dirty Dozen [CHART PACK] we cover crashing fund flows, an aging Risk Cycle, mild intermediate sentiment, stretched gold, a confirmed breakout in a potash producer, and a major squeeze in currencies,…
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A Dozen Reasons To Stay Bullish… [Dirty Dozen]
“The best trades are the ones in which you have all three things going for you: fundamentals, technicals, and market tone. First, the fundamentals should suggest that there is an imbalance of supply and demand, which could result in a major move. Second, the chart must show that the market is moving in the direction…
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Investors Don’t Like Their Corn… [Dirty Dozen]
“You have to minimize your losses and try to preserve capital for those very few instances where you can make a lot in a very short period of time. What you can’t afford to do is throw away your capital on suboptimal trades. ” ~ Richard Dennis In this week’s Dirty Dozen [CHART PACK] we…
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Natural Gas In A Major Compression… [Dirty Dozen]
“All of us began as research people. And we have a saying, the micro drives the macro. And we never thought we were better at constructing what our nonfarm payrolls is going to be, is core PCE going to round up, or round down… We spoke to a lot of companies in the real economy,…
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Lucky Loonie… [Dirty Dozen]
“Grave dancing is an art that has many potential benefits. But one must be careful while prancing around not to fall into the open pit and join the cadaver. There is often a thin line between the dancer and the danced upon.” ~ Sam Zell In this week’s Dirty Dozen [CHART PACK] we walk through…
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Sylvania Platinum (SLP.L): For The Love of Hate
I like finding stocks that have multiple layers of hate. Where the more you analyze it, the more you hate it, and the more likely you are to unfollow me out of principle. I think Sylvania Platinum (SLP.L) is that stock. It has myriad layers of hate. It’s a South African mining company. Not only…
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Ominous… [Dirty Dozen]
“When traders think about money management, they think about stops and trade management. But a big part of the equation is knowing when to go all in, increase the leverage and press your trading to the hilt. Load the boat. These opportunities have an increase in volume and volatility. There is no point in actively…