Author: evencio.alvarez14@gmail.com
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Why Emerging Markets Are A Dead Money Trade
In our most recent MIR we talked briefly about the growth struggles of EM in the context of the Gerschenkron Growth model, using China as our example. Our conclusion was that China, and EM in general, is set to be a dead money trade and massive value trap for the remainder of this cycle. So…
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It’s Late Cycle!!! Is it? And Chicken Soup For Your Portfolio
Alex here with this week’s Macro Musings.As always, if you come across something cool during the week, shoot me an email at alex@macro-ops.com and I’ll share it with the group.Recent Articles/Videos — The Gerschenkron Growth Model – Alex explains how China’s reckless growth strategy will end just like the busted up economies of the Soviet…
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The Gerschenkron Growth Model Explained
On November 18, 1956, during a reception at the Polish embassy in Moscow. Soviet Premier Nikita Khrushchev declared to his audience of Western diplomats that “We [the Soviet Union] will bury you.” This was not a military threat but rather an economic boast. And it was a remark taken very seriously by the West. Soviet…
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Youtube Boxing and Some Soros Wisdom
Tyler here with this week’s Macro Musings.As always, if you come across something cool during the week, shoot me an email at tyler@macro-ops.com and I’ll share it with the group.Quick announcement: If you’re wondering why emerging markets have been getting taken to the woodshed lately, then sign up for the Macro Intelligence Report this weekend.…
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The ONE Thing…China’s slowdown and the rough road ahead for EM
I think this is one of the more interesting charts in markets right now. It’s a monthly of the MSCI Emerging Market Index (EEM). The chart shows EEM breaking out to the upside of a 10-year wedge last year before reversing back down and testing the upper line of support. It’s down approximately 12% on…
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Stolen Press Releases, Market Tops, and A Long In Gold
Tyler here with this week’s Macro Musings.As always, if you come across something cool during the week, shoot me an email at tyler@macro-ops.com and I’ll share it with the group.Recent Articles/Videos — Peter Brandt On Drawdowns — PLB talks about how to manage those nasty market drawdowns. Jack Schwager On Risk Management — Jack explains…
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How To Implement Cheap Black Swan Protection
The following is a guest post from Kim Klaiman, full time options trader and founder of steadyoptions.com. Introduction The earnings season provides a lot of opportunities for active options traders. Some traders like to play earnings with directional bets, buying straight calls or puts. This is a very tough strategy. You have too many factors…
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A Chinese Frankenstein, Fallen Angels, and a Pitch to Buy T-Notes
Alex here with this week’s Macro Musings.As always, if you come across something cool during the week, shoot me an email at alex@macro-ops.com and I’ll share it with the group.Recent Articles/Videos — The Human Trader’s Secret Weapon – Alex explains the three different types of investment edges and how humans can use a few of…
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The Human Trader’s Secret Weapon
Choosing individual stocks without any idea of what you’re looking for is like running through a dynamite factory with a burning match. You may live, but you’re still an idiot. ~ Joel Greenblatt Investing is hard. It’s a game of relative comparisons. We have limited capital and nearly unlimited opportunities to deploy it. Our job…
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The Guy Who Manages Charlie Munger’s Money and Some China Stuff
Alex here with this week’s Macro Musings.As always, if you come across something cool during the week, shoot me an email at alex@macro-ops.com and I’ll share it with the group.The August Macro Intelligence Report: A Value Investing Manifesto was officially released last night! We’ve already gotten some amazing feedback from current subscribers. In the first…