Author: evencio.alvarez14@gmail.com
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Is Volatility Signalling Higher Prices?
Let’s quickly review the overall stock market and see what’s going on. We’ve had some real nice bullish action over the last week, but is it going to last?Well the S&P 500 (SPY) has officially broken out of its consolidation from the beginning of the year. Price cleared its downtrend line and the prior high…
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Will China’s Slowdown Wreak Havoc On Markets?
The following is an excerpt from our Macro Intelligence Report (MIR). If you’d like to learn more about the MIR, click here.Last July, we laid out the case for why China is the most important macro factor this cycle. We talked about why it’s a debt riddled neutrino bomb waiting to go boom… But… we…
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Review: Cameco Corporation (CCJ), Fiat Chrysler (FCAU), Yatra.com (YTRA)
We’ve got 3 stocks for you today that our team is bullish on — Cameco Corporation (CCJ), Fiat Chrysler (FCAU), and Yatra.com (YTRA).Cameco Corporation (CCJ) is one of the largest uranium producers in the world, which makes it a great way to play the coming rebound in the uranium market. Back in 2011 the Fukushima…
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Reflexivity, A Billion Dollar Race Track Gambler and Algorithmic Information Dynamics
Tyler here with this week’s Macro Musings.The May Macro Intelligence Report (MIR) is coming out near the closing bell today. In it we’ll have our latest thoughts on the US dollar, China’s macro deleveraging, and how all this relates to stock markets around the world. If you want to stay plugged into the macro narrative…
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Ed Seykota’s “Fundamentals” and a Massive Pain Trade
Last week we talked about how the market derives its expectations (it simply extrapolates current data ad infinitum) along with why it’s important to view macro data at the second derivative level (the rate of change leads important inflections in the trend). A process that looks something like this.We used these mental models to comment…
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From Bullish To Bearish In Gold?
Today we’re going to revisit gold. I’m going to explain what’s going on in the gold (GLD) market and what trades we put on last week in the Macro Ops portfolio to take advantage.Earlier this month I released a video explaining why our team was bullish on this precious metal. But at the end of…
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George Soros’ Boom Bust Framework Explained
The Palindrome (Soros) once said, “The generally accepted view is that markets are always right — that is, market prices tend to discount future developments accurately even when it is unclear what those developments are. I start with the opposite view. I believe the market prices are always wrong in the sense that they present…
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Carry, The Death of Gold, and Antimodels
Tyler here with this week’s Macro Musings.As always, if you come across something cool during the week, shoot me an email at tyler@macro-ops.com and I’ll share it with the group.Recent Articles/Videos — Explaining The Yield Curve — AK covers what’s going on with the yield curve including why it’s flattening, what that flattening means, and…
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Yield Curve Inversion!? Flattening Yield Curve Explained
The Yield Curve Inversion Secrets! Understanding the Flattening Yield Curve is crucial for any trader or investor!Today we’re going to talk about the yield curve. Recently the financial media has been raving about the yield curve getting closer and closer to inverting and how it’s a signal that a recession is right around the corner.…
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A Millennial Boom in Asia and an Asymmetric Opportunity in Precious Metals
Alex here with this week’s Macro Musings.As always, if you come across something cool during the week, shoot me an email at alex@macro-ops.com and I’ll share it with the group.Articles I’m reading — Jeff Bezos’ latest annual letter to shareholders is fresh off the press. His letters are always worth a read, and this one…