Category: Research – Alex

Nurture your mind with great thoughts; to believe in the heroic makes heroes. ~ Benjamin Disraeli In this week’s Dirty Dozen [CHART PACK] we cover bullish breakouts, strong turn-of-year and presidential cycle seasonality, a zero returning China, a bearish consensus in Ags, and a dirt cheap fertilizer stock to play for a rebound, plus more… …

A trader thinking about economics is like a dog thinking about quantum physics: unlikely to be right and completely irrelevant to their lives. ~ Euan Sinclair In this week’s Dirty Dozen [CHART PACK] we talk about a high-fidelity breadth reversal signal, rising shipping rates, constructive developments in crude, a bullish PGM play, and a small…

He that would run his company on visible figures alone will soon have neither company nor visible figures to work with. ~ W. Edwards Deming In this week’s Dirty Dozen [CHART PACK] we talk about speculators buying the dip in Qs along with that means for this selloff. We then discuss the very high insider…

Because your own strength is unequal to the task, do not assume that it is beyond the powers of man; but if anything is within the powers and province of man, believe that it is within your own compass also. ~ Marcus Aurelius In this week’s Dirty Dozen [CHART PACK] we go over the 2023…

Your pain is the breaking of the shell that encloses your understanding. ~ Khalil Gibran In this week’s Dirty Dozen [CHART PACK] we go over the major sell signals triggered last week and discuss what this means for the market. We then talk about the current consensus and how that consensus is wrong, and we…

There’s no reason to take substantial amounts of financial risk ever because you should always be able to find something where you can skew the risk-reward relationship so greatly in your favor that you can take a variety of small investments with great risk-reward opportunities that should give you minimum drawdown pain and maximum upside…

By doubting, we come to examine, and by examining, so we perceive the truth.~  Peter Abelard In this week’s Dirty Dozen [CHART PACK] we look at seasonality, internals, financial breadth thrusts, weakening US labor data, and a bullish setup in corn, plus more… 1. The SPX has a seasonal tendency to dip over the next…

That warm sense of everything going well is usually the body temperature at the center of the herd. ~  John Masters In this week’s Dirty Dozen [CHART PACK] we look at monthly charts for the SPX, bonds, gold, DXY, and more… 1. The market saw a strong close for November. It’s now within 5% of…

If you consider our position as human beings trying to understand the world in which we live, you will find that we cannot confine our thinking to subjects that are independent of our thinking. We must make decisions about our lives and in order to do so we must hold views that do not qualify…

It might seem that if you have an edge, the way to maximize the edge is to trade as big as you can. But that’s not the case, because of risk. As a professional gambler or as a trader, you are constantly walking the line between maximizing edge and minimizing your risk of tapping out.~…