Category: Research – Alex

I’ve received too many DMs, emails, and texts over the weekend to not talk about the… I don’t even know what to call it… temporary insurrection? Got cold feet attempted coup? “I’m going to overthrow the power structures within Russia, J/K, I’ll see myself out now mkay, bye” Kabuki theater performed by Prioghzin? But before…

If I had to reduce all the components of my methods to a single phrase, it would be thinking in essentials. ~  Victor Sperandeo In this week’s Dirty Dozen [CHART PACK], we talk bullish monthly moves, even more bullish volatility compression breakouts, tempered by short-term pullback expectations, then discuss the outperforming Greeks, some big moves…

There is a very important difference between being a theoretical contrarian and dealing with it in practical terms. In order to win as a contrarian, you need the right timing and you have to put on a position in the appropriate size. If you do it too small, it’s not meaningful; if you do it…

There was no shortage of terror and despair in the financial markets… It was all a bit reminiscent of the fable about the little boy who cried wolf. By the time one finally appeared, most people had lost their capacity to believe and be alarmed.~ Louis Rukeyser In this week’s Dirty Dozen [CHART PACK], we…

Looking at portfolios, think deeply about process over outcome. If you do something the right way enough times, you’ll win. ~ Dan Loeb In this week’s Dirty Dozen [CHART PACK], we talk about stubborn bears, further upside in risk assets, make the case for a small-caps catch up play, cover one sided positioning in bonds,…

I never lock myself down to investing in one style or in one country because the greatest trade in the world could be happening somewhere else. My advice is to make sure that you do not become too much of an expert in one area. Even if you see an area that is inefficient today,…

Good trading is a peculiar balance between the conviction to follow your ideas and the flexibility to recognize when you have made a mistake. You need to believe in something, but at the same time, you are going to be wrong a considerable number of times. The balance between confidence and humility is best learned…

In times of change, learners inherit the earth; while the learned find themselves beautifully equipped to deal with a world that no longer exists. ~ Eric Hoffer In this week’s Dirty Dozen [CHART PACK], we again make the case to not fight the upside trend in equity markets, we then talk bearish CoT positioning in…

What an adaptive worldview means is that whenever you learn a new concept in an ill-structured domain, you know not to oversimplify — that is, to represent it as a single principle or concept. You do not try to reduce. You instead know to search for new, different cases in order to collect a cluster…

My fear of the markets has forced me to hone my timing with great precision. When I am trading properly, it is like a pool player running racks. If my gut feel of market conditions is not right, I don’t trade. ~ Mark WeinsteinIn this week’s Dirty Dozen [CHART PACK], we talk fund manager sentiment,…