Category: Research
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Uber Cannibals, Bond Traders vs Stock Traders, and The Power of Now
Here’s your latest Friday Macro Musings. As always, if you come across something cool during the week, shoot us an email at alex@macro-ops.com and I’ll share it with the group. Latest Articles/Videos — The Bullish Case For US Stocks — Alex explains why sentiment indicators are signaling a potential bottom in the stocks.Yield Curves —…
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The Bullish Case For US Stocks
Sentiment, positioning, and technicals ALL say that we’re getting close to the bottom of this move. And the market is setting up for a monster rally (at least in US stocks). Let’s start with sentiment.We’re still waiting for the capitulation spike in bearish sentiment via the Investors Intelligence report, but we should get that this…
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Walt Disney’s Paper Route and The Spread of Ideas
Here’s your latest Friday Macro Musings. As always, if you come across something cool during the week, shoot us an email at alex@macro-ops.com and I’ll share it with the group. New MIR Issue Out, Sign Up Now — The December MIR is now available! Alex explains how to use John Boyd’s OODA loop to break…
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A Looming Global Recession and a Short Metals Trade
Here’s your latest Friday Macro Musings. As always, if you come across something cool during the week, shoot me an email at alex@macro-ops.com and I’ll share it with the group.This Week in History (“You have to know the past to understand the present” ~ Carl Sagan) — There’s been a lot of chatter this week…
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Steve Cohen on Markets and The Inventor of Candlestick Charts on Trading
Alex here with this week’s Macro Musings.As always, if you come across something cool during the week, shoot me an email at alex@macro-ops.com and I’ll share it with the group.Articles I’m reading — Take a few minutes and read this short article by John Curran (formerly a partner at Bruce Kovner’s shop Caxton Associates, and…
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The Laws of Human Nature, Munger On Stock Picking, and a Bearish Sign for Bonds
Alex here with this week’s Macro Musings.I hope everybody here in the US had a happy Thanksgiving and that you were able to spend some quality time with your family and loved ones. And for those of you in other parts of the world, I hope you enjoyed a day off from the volatile US…
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China’s Deleveraging Continues
We’ve been writing since the beginning of the year that there are two important macro drivers to markets at the moment. These are: China is actively trying to restructure its economy and end its incessant leveraging. A growing issuance of treasury paper, driven by a widening budget deficit and quantitative tightening, is sucking up global…
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A Pope’s Sex Party, Dan Loeb Speaks Macro, And a Bullish EM Setup
Alex here with this week’s Macro Musings.As always, if you come across something cool during the week, shoot Alex an email at alex@macro-ops.com and I’ll share it with the group.Articles I’m reading — Dan Loeb, manager of the hedge fund Third Point, put out his latest investor letter (here’s the link). He gives his current…
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Uranium, Unemployment Cycles, and The Fat Pitch
Tyler here with this week’s Macro Musings.As always, if you come across something cool during the week, shoot me an email at alex@macro-ops.com and I’ll share it with the group.New MIR Report Out Soon Sign Up Now: In this month’s MIR, we’ll be revealing our highest conviction asymmetric macro trade idea for the end of…
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China Won’t Bail Out Global Markets This Time Around
I believe there are three important drivers to markets right now. Two long-term and one short-term. These are: China is actively trying to restructure its economy and end its incessant leveraging. A growing issuance of treasury paper, driven by a widening budget deficit and quantitative tightening, is sucking up global liquidity and creating a “crowding…