Category: Research
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Uncertainty as a discipline of aliveness, loops, and… coffee.
Alex here with this week’s Macro Musings.As always, if you come across something cool during the week, shoot me an email at alex@macro-ops.com and I’ll share it with the group.Recent Articles/Videos — JD.com Update — An update on where we think JD.com can go from here. Red Teaming — A review of one of the…
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Stupid Monkeys, Luck, And An Under The Radar Homebuilder
Alex here with this week’s Macro Musings.As always, if you come across something cool during the week, shoot me an email at alex@macro-ops.com and I’ll share it with the group.Recent Articles/Videos — High Quality Trading Is Episodic, Not Continuous — Tyler explains how harvesting alpha must be done through high impact strikes during periods of…
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It’s A Trader’s Market Now
February volatility has clearly signaled a regime change. We’re no longer in a market that rewards ‘hodlers’ to think less and hold more. It’s a traders market now. The S&P finally snapped that ridiculous no pullback streak we’ve all been watching on Fintwit. (Picture below via Bespoke.)And that break caused the largest short volatility unwind…
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The Li Keqiang Index, Machine Learning, And Some Advice From Munger
Tyler here with this week’s Macro Musings.Article I’m reading —Last week Alex talked about the developing weakness in the Li Keqiang Index and what that means for the macro environment in the months ahead. The CME group wrote a fantastic article about this index that dives into its components, its history, and its uses. (Link…
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The Battle of the Little Bighorn
Tyler here with this week’s Macro Musings.Macro volatility continues to rage on. Fed chair Powell has a tough job ahead of him. If he makes one wrong move, the bond/stock bubble will burst and ruin all the passive ‘hodlers’ with it. We’re leaving the era of buy and hold and entering into a trader’s market.…
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The Good, The Bad, And The Middle – Possible Macro Paths Forward
Let me share one of my favorite trading quotes with you, it’s from Market Wizard Bruce Kovner. He said (emphasis mine): One of the jobs of a good trader is to imagine alternative scenarios. I try to form many different mental pictures of what the world should be like and wait for one of them…
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The Makings of Master Traders, Kahneman Talking Decisions, And A Tax Avoidance Value Play
Alex here with this week’s Macro Musings.As always, if you come across something cool during the week, shoot me an email at alex@macro-ops.com and I’ll share it with the group.Recent Articles/Videos — Fed 101 – AK covers the basics of how the Federal Reserve operates from its dual mandate to its three policy tools. Another…
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From Dalio To Dow To Thucydides And Beyond
Alex here with this week’s Macro Musings.As always, if you come across something cool during the week, shoot me an email at alex@macro-ops.com and I’ll share it with the group.Articles I’m reading —Dalio’s been doing a lot of blogging lately, which is nice. He’s a pretty smart dude. His latest write-up is on the short-term…
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Withering Wages, A Poker Pro, and Lucid Dreaming with Richard Feynman
Alex here with this week’s Macro Musings.As always, if you come across something cool during the week, shoot me an email at alex@macro-ops.com and I’ll share it with the group.Recent Articles/Videos — The Market Drop — AK explains the reasoning behind this recent price route and takes a look under the hood of the economy…
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The Bizarre History of Technical Analysis
AK here with this week’s Macro Musings.The February issue of our Macro Intelligence Report (MIR) is coming out in a few days. We’re going to be covering our top stocks for the Asian S-Curve theme discussed in yesterday’s email. Some of these names have 10x+ potential over the next five years. And that’s not an…