Category: Research
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Regime Shift: What Trump Means for Markets
It’s interesting how quickly the consensus around what a Trump presidency means for markets went from “it’d be an unequivocal disaster” to “his policies will bring forth a new and lasting economic expansion.”
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Global Bond Bubble Bust
Rarely do we investors get a market that we know is overvalued and that approaches such clearly defined limits as the bond market now. That is because there is a limit as to how negative bond yields can go. Their expected returns relative to their risks are especially bad. If interest rates rise just a…
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The Chinese Yuan and a Global Tipping Point
Every market cycle has 1 to 2 macro drivers at the heart of its regime. We call these the fulcrum points. Keep an eye on the fulcrum and you’ll know when a major cyclic turn is underfoot.
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Woof Woof – Long Trupanion Inc. (TRUP)
Trupanion Inc. (TRUP) is a momentum play breaking out of a 19-week ascending triangle.
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What the FED and BOJ Decisions Mean for Markets
No surprises here…Both the Fed and BOJ did exactly what everyone expected them to.
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Expect Higher Correlations And Volatility In This Fed Manipulated Market
We’re trading in some truly interesting times.Check out the index below from Credit Suisse depicting contagion risk across global markets and asset classes. It’s now showing that global markets and assets are at their highest correlation since the index was created.
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Marxist Bubbles And Taleb’s Turkey: It’s Going To Be An Awkward Thanksgiving
Over a third and growing quickly. That’s the share of the market that’s now comprised of blind sheep passive indexers. That much passive money is nothing to sneeze at. Call me old-fashioned, but I was originally led to believe that the function and role of markets in a capitalist society was to direct capital to…
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Liquidity Crisis? What The New SEC Money Market Fund Regulations Mean For The Financial System
Things could get real interesting in the next few months.On Oct. 17th a new SEC rule finally comes into play that will affect money market funds and liquidity across the financial sphere. There’s potential for some really big moves here.
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SitRep – If You Can’t Beat ’em, join ’em
The markets are rallying hard! In this Market Sitrep we explore what’s ahead for U.S. equities in the near term. We examine the 3 main drivers of the rally, and then dive into why this breakout may actually have some legs. The episode finishes with a look at all the stocks we have bought or…
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A Sober Look At The Cryptocurrencies Bitcoin and Ethereum
One of our more profitable trades this year was in the cryptocurrency Bitcoin.