Author: evencio.alvarez14@gmail.com
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Short UPS: What Brown Can’t Do For You
Amazon’s potential delivery service is not a significant threat to UPS. The real problem they face is a slowdown in the economy. The faltering economy along with lower oil prices and a stronger dollar are tanking UPS’ stock price. When it comes to the United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS), investors love talking about the threat of…
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ConocoPhillips: The Dividend Isn’t Worth The Potential Squeeze
A bet on ConocoPhillips is a leveraged bet on oil. Why there’s a good chance the dividend will be cut. There are safer plays for a dividend investor looking to put money into an E&P. I’ve heard many income investors pitching ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP) as a great value at its current price and 6.4% dividend (one…
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Stop Listening To Blowhard Oil Bulls
Some investors truly deserve a gold medal. The mental gymnastics they execute to avoid evidence contrary to their beliefs is amazing. Instead of objectively assessing the avalanche of data that runs against their long-held opinions; they spin, distort, and bend over backwards to twist reality into what they want to be true.Why? Because nothing is…
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2016 Is Shaping Up to Be a Year of Market Volatility After a Difficult 2015
2016 is shaping up to be a volatile year for financial markets. In order to get an understanding of how major asset classes will perform this year, let’s review their performance in 2015.
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Shorting Wheat Feels Like A Trap
There are many factors depressing the price of wheat including the general commodity bear market, wheat’s global supply glut, a strong dollar, and good weather. But with overwhelmingly bearish expectations for wheat, is there any room left to the downside? We believe expectations are too bearish and that El Niño is a strong candidate to…
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Singapore Can’t Escape The Asian Currency Wars (Long USD/SGD)
The yuan devaluation will put upward pressure on USD/SGD. The MAS must react to keep their economy from contracting. Singapore is very vulnerable to currency shifts due to a large import/export market. Singapore, an economy known for its disciplined monetary and fiscal policy, has managed to get caught in the crossfire of a currency war…
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Apple: There Will Be No Asian Miracle
Although cash flush, AAPL isn’t exciting investors anymore Its growth story hinges on China, where the macro picture is deteriorating India shows lukewarm demand as well AAPL isn’t innovating like they used to and is instead depending on stock buybacks
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How Extending Your Investment Timeframe Will Increase Your Returns And Reduce Your Stress
3:00 PM – Log into trading account. Check positions. Check balance. Close window.3:03 PM – Reopen window. Log into account again. Check positions. Check balance. Close window.3:07 PM – Attempt to start a project at work. Fail. Open window. Log into trading account. Check positions. Check balance. Close window.3:16 PM – (See last 15 minutes…
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Drop That Chicken! (BRFS Short)
Brazil’s economic and political climate are toxic for its companies. BRF is closely tied to Brazil’s economy. Where Brazil goes, so does BRF. BRF’s margins are being attacked on all sides which has in turn hurt its bottom line. Brazil is a mess. With a toxic economic and political environment, it is not a good…
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Economic Indicators – ISM and PMI – What Are They?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2_o__qo3RM4 I’m sure you’ve heard all the talk in financial media about various “economic indicators”. The so-called experts use these magic numbers to figure out the state of the economy. They tell us whether we’re heading for a recession, or if the economy is about to start growing again.