Author: evencio.alvarez14@gmail.com
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This Bull Market Is Over… Done… Dead: 3 Indicators Pointing Towards Major Trouble Ahead
We watch a whole host of macro indicators; they give us a peek under the hood of markets and the global economy. The thing about these indicators is that they are slow moving — they’re not something that need to be checked every day, nor every week.98% of the time, these indicators point to smooth…
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Extremely Important News Just Came Out Of China – Here’s How To Play It
Important market news came out this weekend, and surprisingly (or perhaps not so) it has received little notice. I’m talking about the PBoC’s statement released Friday, signaling that they are looking to break the peg to the dollar and rebalance against a currency basket. Here’s the news, via The Financial Times: China has paved the…
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Par Pacific’s Recent Share Offering And Price Decline Doesn’t Make It Any Less Valuable
It’s been a wild few weeks for Par Pacific Holdings (PARR).After a major move to the upside caused by strong Q3 results, PARR plummeted almost 14% on November 23rd on news of a brand new share offering.PARR announced that it was selling 3.4M common shares at $22/share in a registered direct offering. At $22, these…
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The Macro Ops Hub
Above is a depiction of the killing of Spartacus. He’s the famous Thracian slave who dominated as a gladiator and eventually led a rebellion that nearly brought down the entire Roman Empire. Impressive dude. When I read of stories like Spartacus’; where a person rises from nothing and excels to amazing heights, I’m fascinated by…
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Why Active Investing is Better Than Passive Investing
The difference between passive and active investing is not difficult to understand. But even so, my standard attempts to explain the concept usually cause my friends and family’s eyes to glaze over….
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Is Oil Black Gold Or Fool’s Gold? We Think It’s The Latter, Here’s Why
The following excerpt and image below are from Carl Richards in a New York Times Blog post: The recency bias is pretty simple. Because it’s easier, we’re inclined to use our recent experience as the baseline for what will happen in the future. In many situations, this bias works just fine, but when it comes…
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The 3 Reasons Druckenmiller is Bullish On Amazon and Why You Should Be Too
Legendary hedge fund manager Stanley Druckenmiller had a lot to say at the recent New York Times Dealbook conference. When The Druck speaks, you should listen.One of his more interesting segments involved him proclaiming his love for Amazon. But these aren’t just words, Druck tends to put his money where his mouth is. According to…
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IBM: The Poster Child Of Capital Misallocation
IBM has quickly become the poster child of the popular “buybacks-trump-everything” financial engineering phenomenon. This will not end well for its stock price. Big Blue used to lead American innovation, but not anymore. Instead, it now epitomizes everything wrong with the greedy short-term thinking that plagues c-suite ideology. Let’s first make it clear that we have…
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Facebook Ready to Reach the Moon
Winner take all tech is manifesting itself in the market Facebook is ripping to new highs on a great Q3 earnings report Emphasis on long term growth instead of short term earnings makes Facebook the most loved stock on Wall Street Facebook, joining the ranks of Apple, Amazon, and Google has become one of the…
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The Fed Is Hiking Rates In December And What That Means For Markets
The all important job numbers came out Friday. US employers hired at their strongest clip so far this year and more importantly wage growth ticked up. Non-farm payrolls rose a seasonally adjusted 271,000 in the month of October Average hourly earnings of private-sector workers rose 9 cents to $25.20 This puts hourly earnings up 2.5%…