Author: evencio.alvarez14@gmail.com
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Your Monday Dirty Dozen [CHART PACK] #6
There are really four kinds of trades or bets: good bets, bad bets, winning bets, and losing bets. Most people think that a losing trade was a bad bet. That is absolutely wrong. You can lose money even on a good bet. If the odds on a bet are 50/50 and the payoff is $2…
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Musings: The Illusion of the Great Moderation and an Update on Shipping
Alex here with your latest Friday Macro Musings. As always, if you come across something cool during the week, shoot me an email at alex@macro-ops.com and I’ll share it with the group.Latest Articles — Your Monday Dirty Dozen [CHART PACK] — We look at the widening gap between the positive hard data and the horrendous…
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Investor Letters, Options Trader Wins Big and More!
This edition is LOADED with investor letters as we clear the deck for one of our favorites: Scott Miller. We’ll touch on some other things, such as a trader turning $700 into $100K+. Artko Capital continues to kill it. And Howard Marks discusses negative rates.But we’re saving room for what matters most, fresh ideas. Make…
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Your Monday Dirty Dozen [CHART PACK] #5
It may be readily conceived that if men passionately bent upon physical gratifications desire greatly, they are also easily discouraged; as their ultimate object is to enjoy, the means to reach that object must be prompt and easy or the trouble of acquiring the gratification would be greater than the gratification itself. Their prevailing frame…
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Musings: The Anniversary of Black Monday and the Infamous PTJ “Trader” Doc
Alex here with your latest Friday Macro Musings. As always, if you come across something cool during the week, shoot me an email at alex@macro-ops.com and I’ll share it with the group. Latest Articles — Your Monday Dirty Dozen [CHART PACK] — We look at more charts showing the pervasive bearishness amongst investors; from sentiment near multi-decade lows…
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My Favorite Investing Resources
I’ve received many questions about where to start, books to read and podcasts to follow for value investing. While the following addresses their specific request, I think this list of resources helps all investors.Traders learn from value guys. Value guys learn from momentum traders. We all learn from each other.I’ve broken down my favorite resources…
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Shipping Stocks, Water Assets and Jeff Bezos Interviews
October’s well underway, but yesterday marked my official first day of Fall. My girlfriend convinced me to visit a pumpkin patch. We took “artsy” photos with pumpkins and tractors.Safe to say I’m buying puts on her IG page if she posts those.Here’s what we got in store for you this week. PG&E hides under the…
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Your Monday Dirty Dozen [CHART PACK] #4
The point of forecasting is not to attempt illusory certainty, but to identify the full range of possible outcomes. ~ Paul Saffo Good morning!In this week’s Dirty Dozen [CHART PACK] we look at more charts showing the pervasive bearishness amongst investors; from sentiment near multi-decade lows to persistent outflows in EM stocks. We also check…
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Plato’s Cave and How I Lost $127,562.06
Are you familiar with Plato’s allegory of the man in the cave? It’s about a man deep in a cave who’s been chained to a wall his entire life. He’s never seen the light of day and doesn’t know there’s an outside world. In this cave, out of the man’s purview, there’s a fire with…
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Question EVERYTHING: A Recent Thing I From One of the Better Traders I Know
There’s been a few things that have been rattling around in my brain-housing group that I wanted to get down on paper and share with everybody.What sparked this flywheel of thought is something my buddy and resident systems trader here at MO, ChrisD (@ChrisDMacro) tweeted a few weeks ago. Here it is.Chris joined our team…